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Caution warranted April 18, 2010

Posted by Warren in FX, Metals, Strategy.
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Risk taking was reversed on its head last Friday on the back of the SEC suit against Goldman. Equities and commodities have been teetering into a topping pattern and the dollar index has stubbornly held its current level. I (was forced to) cut my position in half, and am now wondering how to trade the remaining position.

A short term rebound from here is possible, but I’m open to the possibility that we’re in for some seasonal weakness over the next few months. In such case, a good strategy would be to exit the remaining position on any rallies and short some contracts here and there.

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